報告題目： The Influence of Ambient Air Pollution on the Transmission of Tuberculosis in Jiangsu Province, China
報告人： 王玮明 教授 淮陰師範學院
報告時間：2023年11月4日 星期六 下午4:00-5:00
報告地點：數學樓第二報告廳
校内聯系人：劉素莉 liusuli@jlu.edu.cn
報告摘要：In this paper, based on the statistical data, we investigate the effects of long-term exposure to ambient particulate air pollution on the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis (TB) in Jiangsu, China by studying the threshold dynamics of the TB epidemic model via the statistical data analytically and numerically. The basic reproduction number R_0>1 reveals that TB in Jiangsu, China is an endemic disease and will persist for a long time. And the numerical results show that, in order to control the TB in Jiangsu effectively, we must decrease the depuration coefficient of PM_{10} in the body, the proportion of TB symptomatic infectious by direct transmission, the reactivation rate of the pre-symptomatic infectious and the effect coefficient of PM_10 and MTB inhaled of TB transmission, and increase the uptake coefficient, the recovery rate of the symptomatic/pre-symptomatic infectious and the influence coefficient of PM_10 on the body of mortality. Our study shows that PM_10 is closely related to the incidence of TB, and the effective control efforts are suggested to focus on increasing close-contact distance and wearing protective mask to decrease the influence of PM_10 on the TB transmission, which may shed a new light on understanding the environmental drivers to TB.
報告人簡介：王玮明博士，淮陰師範學院“翔宇學者”、數學與統計學院教授，陝西師範大學兼職博導；中國數學會生物數學專委會常務理事、副秘書長；中國工業與應用數學會數學與生命科學專委會理事。江蘇省十四五“數學”重點學科帶頭人；江蘇省高校科技創新團隊“傳染病防控的建模分析及預警系統”帶頭人；淮安市傳染病防控及預警重點實驗室主任。曾入選浙江省“新世紀151人才工程”第二層次，擔任浙江省十二五“應用數學”重點學科帶頭人。近十年來專注于傳染病防控的建模分析及預警研究，得到了國家自然科學基金的連續資助，已主持完成面上項目2項，目前主持在研1項。在科學出版社出版專著2部。近五年來，獲中國産學研合作與創新成果獎優秀獎、海南省自然科學獎二等獎和新疆自治區科技進步獎二等獎各1項。入選愛思唯爾2020、2021、2022 “中國高被引學者”以及科睿唯安2021、2022 “全球高被引科學家”等榜單。
